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On a final note people from around the world should succeed in implementing their dreams in their own countries. The
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Here is a comment by VictorK published on BBC WHYS reflecting the fear of the USA losing its White Anglo-Saxon majority. I wonder how credible his views below are.
Abdelilah Boukili's post raised a point that I'd really like to see WHYS address: the demographic transformation of the USA.
On present trends, unless the Government and people of the US change their current immigration policy, America will, by 2050, lose -forever - its historic European majority. Hispanics, African-Americans and Asians will outnumber Euro-Americans.
But what's rarely debated is whether 'America' will still exist if this happens. Analysts like Samuel Huntington argue that America is 'America' because it possesses an historic Anglo-Protestant cultural core, and whatever undermines or destroys that core must of necessity also undermine and destroy America as an historic nation with a set of values and traditions derived from its Anglo-Protestant core (liberty, constitutional government, the rule of law, dynamic capitalism, freedom of religion, the pursuit of happiness, etc). Others - neocons especially - argue that America is a 'notion', an idea, the world's first 'proposition nation', and that the massive stream of legal and illegal immigrants that it receives need not threaten American identity or values, so long as the immigrants are all assimilated into American culture via the celebrated 'melting pot.'
I think that the neocons show - as usual, a la Iraq and Afghanistan - undue optimism based on good intentions and a theory based on nothing in particular, certainly not reality. The argument by the likes of Huntington - which I for one find persuasive - is drawn from history and represents what is known from the experience of nations.
On current trends the year 2050 will mark the disintegration and collapse of the United States. It will be balkanised along racial and ethnic lines and will become a kind of superior Brazil, though probably not so harmonious re its constituent tribes. It will cease to be a superpower as it devotes more and more of its resources and energies to trying to manage the racial and ethnic conflicts that will increasingly characterise its public life, conflicts that will no longer benefit from the existence of a dominant (and benign) Euro-American majority to impose humane solutions. China will displace the US as a global power. The possibility of secession in the South west of the country will become a reality (with Hispanic majorities dominating from Texas to California), or the rest of the country will expel this region from the US, the south west having by now become an extension of the corrupt and incompetent states of Latin America. The American presence in the world, which on the whole has been a force for good, will have permanently ended.
That's the nightmare scenario, but not an impossible one on present trends. I'd be sorry to see it, or anything like it, come to pass, since a world dominated by China will be an even greater nightmare.
It's up to Americans to prevent this future realising itself by taking their presently lax and irresponsible immigration policy in hand, for the good not just of their country, but of the world.
Demography is destiny, and America's current demographic future is a bleak one (as are France's and Holland's, which face the even more terrible prospect of becoming part of North Africa).
2 comments:
Certainly I am a con, but not a neocon, because I believe America's success has more to do with culture than with Democratic institutions. Thus, I view what the US is doing in Iraq as being good intentions derived from flawed philosophy, which puts me outside of the typical left-right wars. The US is rapidly moving to a neocon-paleoliberal (e.g. Guiliani vs. Hillary) split where the former doesn't cherish American culture and the later is hostile to it. Immigration is now being shaped primarily by these two groups.
My father grew up with the children of European immigrants in the Philadelphia area. My children grew up with immigrants from Asia and Mexico. What has changed over this time is that formerly everyone came here for a chance to work and build a new life for themselves. They didn't expect handouts and they did expect it to be easy. Today, half of the immigrants come to live on the dole. At one extreme, I meet millionaires from Asia who hide their wealth, move into a mansion, and then start applying for public assistance. The easiest to get is low income scholarships and admission to top universities for their heavily tutored children. They regularly apply for government subsidized housing loans.
At the other extreme, there are poor families who move to the US illegally and receive housing, education, food, and health care all free. A problem for the local companies here in Silicon Valley is that the workers will refuse to work after a few hundred hours because a government threshold will be hit and the loss of benefits will exceed the potential income. Another variation is that someone works a few weeks and suddenly applies for permanent disability costing a company insurance policy a million dollars or so. Corrupt doctors are part of this scam. In general, the political climate is towards increased government benefits to illegals (liberals), while clamping down on employers who break the law by hiring illegals (conservatives). This is systematically creating a beggar culture.
Things could collapse well before 2050.
I agree with you Looney. The Americans should endeavour to preserve their culture. Illegal immigrants are in many cases exploited by employers seeking cheap labour.
If economic fraud continues to persist at a large scale this can produce economic and social instability whereby those who deserve work thanks to their qualifications are marginalised because they claim to work within legal framework.
The world needs America and America needs the world. Even the majority of the Americans don't want their government to indulge in failing foreign policies.
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